Market crap

Hey, it's the intro to my third chapter!
The fundamental insight is that there is nothing irrational about trying to learn from what other people in the market are doing. Remember that shares have a true value based on the future stream of company profits. But nobody knows what that value is. Smart investors should realize that other smart investors will know things that they do not. If they don't take into account the private information held by other investors, they will make bad decisions, and they can learn only by watching what other people do.

1 comment:

Spice said...

I just had the very weird insight that our dissertations actually intersect - because mine is also about learning from what other people do/know, just not at such a high/abstract level of aggregation.

Perhaps we can integrate further when we finally write that paper on rural politics.